The Giant Debt Bubble
Stephen Roach, chief economist at the Morgan Stanley banking group, presented some alarming facts about the U.S. economy recently before an audience of fund managers. In order to finance the national debt (which exceeds $7 trillion), America has to import $2.6 billion in cash every day, an amount equal to 80 percent of the entire world's net savings. The debt was about half the size of the economy 20 years ago. Today it's at 85 percent.
The dollar has hit new record lows against other currencies from the yen to the euro. Household debt is at record levels. Americans are presently spending a record portion of their disposable income on their interest bills. Under these circumstances, Roach predicts a "spectacular number of personal bankruptcies" in the near future.
America is sitting on a giant debt bubble, spending money like a bunch of drunken sailors, seemingly oblivious to the catastrophic consequences of the bubble bursting.
The cost of government is now over $20,000 per household. As a token of their appreciation for being elected to office, Congress has recently passed the 2005 omnibus spending bill (H.R. 4818).
Six years ago there were fewer than 2,000 pork projects in appropriations bills. In 2005, more than 11,000 pork projects will be appropriated, costing over $23 billion, exceeding the 10,656 pork projects of fiscal 2004.
Some of the 11,000 pork projects for 2005 include:
* $6.3 million -- Wood utilization research (several western states).
* $3.5 million -- Bus acquisition (Atlanta, Georgia).
* $3 million -- Grape Genomics Research Center (Davis, California) .
* $3 million -- Center for Grape Genetics (Geneva, New York).
* $2.5 million -- Horse Springs Ranch (New Mexico).
* $2.3 million -- Animal Waste Management Research Laboratory (Bowling Green, Kentucky).
* $2 million -- Kitchen relocation, North Star Borough (Fairbanks, Alaska).
* $2 million -- Replace buses (Chapel Hill, North Carolina).
* $1.8 million -- Eider and sea otter recovery (Alaska).
* $1.75 million -- Parents Anonymous.
* $1.5 million -- Transport naturally chilled water from Lake Ontario to Lake Onondaga.
* $1.5 million -- Wood products wastewater repairs (Canton, North Carolina).
* $1.5 million -- Anchorage Museum (Anchorage, Alaska).
* $1.25 million -- Train to Mountain (Washington).
* $1.2 million -- Alternative salmon products (Alaska).
* $1 million -- Trailways Station revitalization (Georgia).
* $1 million -- B.B. King Museum Foundation (Indianola, Mississippi).
Apparently drunken sailors aren't the only ones who spend like a bunch of drunken sailors. Congress has a debt ceiling it has imposed upon itself that must not be exceeded. However, whenever the national debt approaches the limit, Congress simply raises the ceiling and continues its merry spending habit.
In a democracy, people tend to elect politicians who promise to give them something. Then the politicians appropriate vast sums of money to pay off the voters who elected them. In the process, the federal government spends much more than it takes in, building a massive debt that must be paid by future generations.
Our collective greed will be our downfall unless we sober up and get our financial house in order. If the giant debt bubble bursts, all we can do is clean up the mess and start over from scratch.
I've started over from scratch a couple of times in my life. It's a long, hard road back to daylight.